Demographics
Young, Growing, Educated Population
Mesa is home to a growing, educated population, with the median age of 38.3. More than one third of adults hold a bachelor’s degree or higher. With more than 207,169 households, Mesa’s average household income exceeds $117,725.
Source: Esri Business Analyst (2026–2031 projections), 2026
Population
| Population | 2026 | 2031 (Projected) |
|---|---|---|
| Mesa | 529,853 | 548,436 |
| Arizona | 7,738,721 | 8,100,422 |
Population Growth
| Population Growth | 2015-2019 | 2020-2024 | 2026-2031 (Projected) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mesa | 5.96% | 3.14% | 3.51% |
| Arizona | 6.60% | 4.47% | 4.67% |
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program (historical growth, 2015–2024); Esri Business Analyst (2026–2031 projections), 2026
Population / Household Demographics
3.51%
Mesa’s projected population growth by 2031
– Esri Business Analyst, 2026
4.80%
Mesa’s projected household growth by 2031
– Esri Business Analyst (2026–2031 projections), 2026
$117K
Mesa’s average household income
– Esri Business Analyst, 2026
Households
| Households | Quantity |
|---|---|
| 2026 Estimate | 207,169 |
| 2031 Projection | 217,110 |
Source: Esri Business Analyst (2026–2031 projections), 2026
Household Income (2026)
| Household Income | Amount |
|---|---|
| Median | $88,037 |
| Average | $117,725 |
Source: Esri Business Analyst, 2026
Degree Attainment
46.3%
Hold an Associate Degree or higher (age 25+)
– Esri Business Analyst, 2026
35.9%
Hold a Bachelor’s Degree or higher (age 25+)
– Esri Business Analyst, 2026
Educational Attainment
| Highest Level Completed (2026) | Rate |
|---|---|
| High School Graduate | 20.2% |
| Some College | 22.2% |
| Associate Degree | 10.4% |
| Bachelor’s Degree | 23.7% |
| Graduate Degree | 12.2% |
Source: Esri Business Analyst, 2026
Population Demographics
38.3
Mesa’s median age
– Esri Business Analyst, 2026
51.5%
Mesa’s population age 15-54
– Esri Business Analyst, 2026
Population by Age (2026)
| Age Group | Percentage |
|---|---|
| 14 and under | 18.3% |
| 15-34 | 27.0% |
| 35-54 | 24.5% |
| 55-74 | 21.1% |
| 75-85+ | 9.3% |
Source: Esri Business Analyst, 2026; age groups manually aggregated from five-year cohorts
Population by Race (2026)
| Race | Percentage |
|---|---|
| White | 63.5% |
| Black or African American | 4.5% |
| American Indian | 2.7% |
| Asian | 3.2% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.4% |
| Other Race | 12.6% |
| Two or More Races | 13.0% |
Source: Esri Business Analyst, 2026
Population by Ethnicity (2026)
| Ethnicity | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Non-Hispanic | 71.7% |
| Hispanic | 28.3% |
Source: Esri Business Analyst, 2026
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